Betting Lines
| Spread | EKU -3.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 158.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JMU +1 | 157 | Lost |
| Massey | EKU -20.2 (-21.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.4 (+23.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | EKU -13.8 (-14.8) | 138.7 (+18.3) | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EKU -13.7 (-14.7) | 142.8 (+14.2) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EKU -13.1 (-14.1) | 139.7 (+17.3) | 87% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 3, 2022 | JMU 97 – 80 EKU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EKU | JMU |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Massey | 9.0 (#33) | -0.8 (#199) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.20 (#2) | 0.78 (#96) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.96 (#2) | 1.19 (#89) |
| RPI | 1.000 (#1) | 1.000 (#1) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EKU | JMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.8% | 33.9% |
| 3PT% | 39.4% | 22.6% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 16.0 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 0.62 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 39.8% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 23.1% |
| ORB% | 34.8% | 33.3% |
| FT Rate | 17.9% | 18.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 42.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.5% | 29.9% |
| DRB% | 62.2% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 12.3% | 19.6% |
Game Analysis
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