Hmm, you're so pretty, not to talk to you would be a crime. "Baby, Baby" - The Vibrators
Levien Gymnasium · December 3, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread COLU -0.5 Home covered
O/U 136.5 Under
Money COLU +110 / UNH -110
Model Predictions
Spread Total COLU win
Actual COLU +4 108 Won
Massey COLU -4.7 (-0.7)
Massey Totals 136.2 (-28.2)
Bradley-Terry 78%
Weighted B-T 75%
Baseline Plus ML COLU -2.1 (+1.9) 136.5 (-28.5) 59%
Baseline ML COLU -3.2 (+0.8) 136.2 (-28.2) 57%
Baseline Tuned ML COLU -3.1 (+0.9) 136.9 (-28.9) 58%
Efficiency Plus ML COLU -0.1 (+3.9) 134.1 (-26.1) 55%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 26, 2024 COLU 8357 UNH
Dec 3, 2023 UNH 8071 COLU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings COLU UNH
Overall 7-22 15-15
Conference 2-12 9-7
Home 6-9 11-4
Away 1-13 4-11
Neutral 0-0 0-0
Last 5 1-4 1-4
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 65.3 64.6
Avg Pts Against 77.3 68.0
Massey -11.7 (#343) -10.1 (#331)
Bradley-Terry -2.38 (#326) -2.41 (#327)
W. Bradley-Terry -3.51 (#328) -3.16 (#318)
RPI 0.350 (#350) 0.396 (#316)
Shooting & Four Factors COLU UNH
FG% 38.5% 36.1%
3PT% 29.7% 33.6%
REB / G 32.9 34.6
OREB / G 10.0 10.2
AST / TO 0.60 1.48
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 44.5% 42.8%
TOV% 23.1% 12.2%
ORB% 27.2% 25.1%
FT Rate 23.7% 18.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 55.2% 49.4%
Opp TOV% 19.4% 14.8%
DRB% 67.0% 74.4%
Opp FT Rate 14.0% 33.1%

Game Analysis

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