Betting Lines
| Spread | UNH -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.0 Under |
| Money | UNH -195 COLU +162 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNH +9 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | UNH -7.5 (+1.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.3 (+5.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNH -4.5 (+4.5) | 148.5 (+2.5) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNH -5.5 (+3.5) | 144.6 (+6.4) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNH -5.4 (+3.6) | 143.6 (+7.4) | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNH -5.0 (+4.0) | 147.3 (+3.7) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 26, 2024 | COLU 83 – 57 UNH |
| Dec 3, 2022 | COLU 56 – 52 UNH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNH | COLU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-15 | 13-14 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 4-10 |
| Home | 9-5 | 9-6 |
| Away | 7-10 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.8 | 73.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.3 | 75.3 |
| Massey | 1.9 (#135) | 0.3 (#167) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.01 (#97) | 0.70 (#130) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.10 (#119) | 1.17 (#111) |
| RPI | 0.544 (#115) | 0.525 (#135) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNH | COLU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 36.2% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 23.3% | 27.2% |
| FT Rate | 25.1% | 26.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 21.2% |
| DRB% | 70.7% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.7% | 19.8% |
Game Analysis
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