Betting Lines
| Spread | COLU -17.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | COLU -1600 UNH +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLU +26 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | COLU -22.4 (+3.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.3 (-3.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLU -20.2 (+5.8) | 137.4 (+2.6) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLU -19.5 (+6.5) | 140.8 (-0.8) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLU -17.7 (+8.3) | 140.4 (-0.4) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLU -15.5 (+10.5) | 139.7 (+0.3) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 3, 2023 | UNH 80 – 71 COLU |
| Dec 3, 2022 | COLU 56 – 52 UNH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLU | UNH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-15 | 8-24 |
| Conference | 1-13 | 6-10 |
| Home | 9-6 | 6-7 |
| Away | 3-9 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L7 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.1 | 64.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.6 | 77.2 |
| Massey | 2.6 (#129) | -13.5 (#350) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.17 (#12) | -3.80 (#358) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.20 (#22) | -5.95 (#361) |
| RPI | 0.553 (#99) | 0.293 (#362) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLU | UNH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.9% | 38.2% |
| 3PT% | 38.1% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.65 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.2% | 44.8% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 32.4% | 24.2% |
| FT Rate | 26.2% | 20.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 53.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 14.1% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 67.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.6% | 23.2% |
Game Analysis
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