Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCG -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | ELON +275 UNCG -300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ELON win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNCG +4 | 126 | Lost |
| Massey | ELON -1.6 (-5.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.8 (-5.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNCG -0.6 (-3.4) | 134.4 (-8.4) | 43% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNCG -0.5 (-3.5) | 131.4 (-5.4) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNCG -0.4 (-3.6) | 132.2 (-6.2) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNCG -0.9 (-3.1) | 133.4 (-7.4) | 44% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 8, 2025 | ELON 92 – 90 UNCG |
| Dec 22, 2024 | ELON 73 – 69 UNCG |
| Dec 10, 2023 | UNCG 82 – 73 ELON |
| Dec 1, 2021 | UNCG 74 – 61 ELON |
| Dec 19, 2020 | UNCG 71 – 64 ELON |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ELON | UNCG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-24 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 14-4 |
| Home | 5-9 | 11-3 |
| Away | 3-12 | 8-6 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.8 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 65.2 |
| Massey | -10.9 (#337) | -6.3 (#285) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.96 (#360) | -0.46 (#224) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -5.94 (#360) | -0.09 (#190) |
| RPI | 0.360 (#343) | 0.446 (#260) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ELON | UNCG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.6% | 39.2% |
| 3PT% | 26.3% | 31.0% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.5% | 45.7% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 22.3% |
| ORB% | 25.5% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 23.5% | 27.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.1% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 21.4% |
| DRB% | 67.5% | 69.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 22.3% |
Game Analysis
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