Betting Lines
| Spread | GWEB -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Over |
| Money | GWEB -110 UTC +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GWEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTC +11 | 153 | Lost |
| Massey | GWEB -11.5 (-22.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 124.1 (+28.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GWEB -5.4 (-16.4) | 132.8 (+20.2) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GWEB -8.3 (-19.3) | 131.2 (+21.8) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | GWEB -8.7 (-19.7) | 131.7 (+21.3) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GWEB -8.0 (-19.0) | 131.0 (+22.0) | 75% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 20, 2023 | UTC 69 – 66 GWEB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GWEB | UTC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-16 | 18-17 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 7-11 |
| Home | 8-5 | 9-7 |
| Away | 6-10 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.4 | 75.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.7 | 74.1 |
| Massey | 4.8 (#83) | -0.5 (#194) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.12 (#175) | 0.08 (#183) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.38 (#162) | 0.12 (#174) |
| RPI | 0.456 (#238) | 0.555 (#95) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GWEB | UTC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 36.5% |
| REB / G | 32.3 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.67 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 21.5% | 21.3% |
| ORB% | 26.7% | 28.9% |
| FT Rate | 19.7% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.1% | 50.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 15.1% |
| DRB% | 74.8% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.2% | 18.1% |
Game Analysis
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