Betting Lines
| Spread | UTC -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | UTC -250 GWEB +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTC +3 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | UTC -6.7 (-3.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.1 (-8.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTC -5.3 (-2.3) | 144.2 (-9.2) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTC -6.5 (-3.5) | 143.6 (-8.6) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTC -6.3 (-3.3) | 144.6 (-9.6) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTC -7.4 (-4.4) | 146.8 (-11.8) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 3, 2022 | UTC 82 – 71 GWEB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTC | GWEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 11-5 |
| Home | 12-4 | 9-4 |
| Away | 8-7 | 6-8 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.8 | 71.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.1 | 74.8 |
| Massey | -1.4 (#194) | -3.6 (#236) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.09 (#170) | -0.46 (#226) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.07 (#184) | -1.06 (#257) |
| RPI | 0.467 (#223) | 0.468 (#222) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTC | GWEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 38.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 26.8% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.5% | 42.6% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 14.9% |
| ORB% | 28.8% | 27.1% |
| FT Rate | 26.2% | 23.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.2% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 73.9% | 74.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.3% | 29.2% |
Game Analysis
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