Betting Lines
| Spread | L-MD -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | L-MD -163 COPP +175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | L-MD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COPP +3 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | L-MD -3.2 (-6.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.3 (-13.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 67% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | L-MD -2.8 (-5.8) | 151.6 (-6.6) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | L-MD -3.3 (-6.3) | 155.0 (-10.0) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | L-MD -3.5 (-6.5) | 151.9 (-6.9) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | L-MD -3.0 (-6.0) | 151.4 (-6.4) | 60% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 30, 2025 | L-MD 95 – 84 COPP |
| Dec 3, 2024 | L-MD 68 – 57 COPP |
| Nov 18, 2021 | COPP 71 – 49 L-MD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | L-MD | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 4-10 |
| Home | 9-6 | 4-6 |
| Away | 3-13 | 5-16 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.9 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.8 | 83.2 |
| Massey | -7.0 (#297) | -4.0 (#247) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.30 (#210) | 0.10 (#179) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.95 (#238) | -0.21 (#199) |
| RPI | 0.480 (#207) | 0.538 (#122) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | L-MD | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 37.7% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 29.0 | 32.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 7.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 23.1% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 24.2% | 20.8% |
| FT Rate | 19.7% | 26.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.3% | 53.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.9% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 62.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.3% | 21.7% |
Game Analysis
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