Betting Lines
| Spread | MARQ -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | MARQ -225 WIS +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MARQ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIS +3 | 157 | Lost |
| Massey | MARQ -17.1 (-20.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.1 (+22.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MARQ -13.9 (-16.9) | 140.1 (+16.9) | 84% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MARQ -11.4 (-14.4) | 139.5 (+17.5) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MARQ -14.1 (-17.1) | 138.0 (+19.0) | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MARQ -13.1 (-16.1) | 138.7 (+18.3) | 84% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 6, 2025 | WIS 96 – 76 MARQ |
| Dec 7, 2024 | MARQ 88 – 74 WIS |
| Dec 2, 2023 | WIS 75 – 64 MARQ |
| Dec 4, 2021 | WIS 89 – 76 MARQ |
| Dec 5, 2020 | MARQ 67 – 65 WIS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MARQ | WIS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29-7 | 20-15 |
| Conference | 17-3 | 9-11 |
| Home | 16-1 | 11-6 |
| Away | 8-4 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.3 | 65.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.3 | 63.6 |
| Massey | 14.7 (#15) | 3.8 (#105) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.17 (#36) | 0.83 (#116) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.81 (#24) | 1.50 (#101) |
| RPI | 0.604 (#47) | 0.563 (#85) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MARQ | WIS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.0% | 38.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 36.2% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.57 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.6% | 45.6% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 14.9% |
| ORB% | 26.4% | 23.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.7% | 44.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.0% | 20.5% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 74.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.8% | 19.0% |
Game Analysis
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