Betting Lines
| Spread | WIS -6.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIS +13 | 165 | Won |
| Massey | WIS -14.0 (-1.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.8 (+26.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIS -10.8 (+2.2) | 141.1 (+23.9) | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIS -11.4 (+1.6) | 138.9 (+26.1) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIS -11.9 (+1.1) | 138.6 (+26.4) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIS -10.7 (+2.3) | 139.7 (+25.3) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 6, 2025 | WIS 96 – 76 MARQ |
| Dec 7, 2024 | MARQ 88 – 74 WIS |
| Dec 2, 2023 | WIS 75 – 64 MARQ |
| Dec 3, 2022 | WIS 80 – 77 MARQ |
| Dec 5, 2020 | MARQ 67 – 65 WIS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIS | MARQ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-8 | 19-13 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 11-8 |
| Home | 12-4 | 13-3 |
| Away | 9-2 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 74.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.0 | 71.6 |
| Massey | 11.5 (#26) | 3.4 (#108) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.09 (#13) | 1.97 (#52) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.19 (#21) | 1.95 (#77) |
| RPI | 0.675 (#10) | 0.642 (#17) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIS | MARQ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.0% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 30.1% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.7% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 13.7% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 30.1% | 24.9% |
| FT Rate | 25.2% | 30.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.5% | 46.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 21.5% |
| DRB% | 74.9% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.1% | 17.1% |
Game Analysis
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