Betting Lines
| Spread | MARQ -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | MARQ -290 WIS +230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MARQ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MARQ +14 | 162 | Won |
| Massey | MARQ -11.2 (+2.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.3 (+8.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MARQ -10.1 (+3.9) | 152.0 (+10.0) | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MARQ -9.9 (+4.1) | 150.8 (+11.2) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MARQ -10.9 (+3.1) | 150.4 (+11.6) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MARQ -10.3 (+3.7) | 150.6 (+11.4) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 6, 2025 | WIS 96 – 76 MARQ |
| Dec 2, 2023 | WIS 75 – 64 MARQ |
| Dec 3, 2022 | WIS 80 – 77 MARQ |
| Dec 4, 2021 | WIS 89 – 76 MARQ |
| Dec 5, 2020 | MARQ 67 – 65 WIS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MARQ | WIS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 27-10 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 13-7 |
| Home | 14-3 | 14-3 |
| Away | 7-6 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 7-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.6 | 80.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.7 | 70.9 |
| Massey | 18.3 (#11) | 11.9 (#41) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.70 (#7) | 2.92 (#22) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.53 (#7) | 4.69 (#20) |
| RPI | 0.682 (#11) | 0.652 (#20) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MARQ | WIS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.3% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.58 | 1.57 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.4% | 52.9% |
| TOV% | 13.9% | 13.3% |
| ORB% | 29.5% | 28.7% |
| FT Rate | 20.4% | 33.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 46.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.3% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.5% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
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