Betting Lines
| Spread | WIS -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.0 Under |
| Money | MARQ +180 WIS -210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MARQ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MARQ +2 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | MARQ -10.3 (-8.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.0 (-2.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MARQ -5.1 (-3.1) | 134.8 (-2.8) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MARQ -5.8 (-3.8) | 135.6 (-3.6) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MARQ -5.8 (-3.8) | 136.1 (-4.1) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MARQ -6.0 (-4.0) | 137.0 (-5.0) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 6, 2025 | WIS 96 – 76 MARQ |
| Dec 7, 2024 | MARQ 88 – 74 WIS |
| Dec 2, 2023 | WIS 75 – 64 MARQ |
| Dec 3, 2022 | WIS 80 – 77 MARQ |
| Dec 4, 2021 | WIS 89 – 76 MARQ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MARQ | WIS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-14 | 18-13 |
| Conference | 8-11 | 10-10 |
| Home | 7-7 | 11-5 |
| Away | 6-6 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-1 | 3-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.7 | 69.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.8 | 64.6 |
| Massey | 6.6 (#51) | 5.7 (#61) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.48 (#179) | 0.76 (#84) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.65 (#177) | 1.02 (#88) |
| RPI | 0.465 (#157) | 0.472 (#152) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MARQ | WIS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 50.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.5% | 41.9% |
| REB / G | 46.7 | 39.7 |
| OREB / G | 13.3 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 2.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 57.6% |
| TOV% | 23.6% | 11.6% |
| ORB% | 37.4% | 25.5% |
| FT Rate | 40.6% | 26.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 35.6% | 36.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 73.5% | 77.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.5% | 21.6% |
Game Analysis
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