Betting Lines
| Spread | WIS -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 160.5 Over |
| Money | WIS -750 MARQ +525 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIS +20 | 172 | Won |
| Massey | WIS -15.1 (+4.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 164.7 (+7.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIS -15.6 (+4.4) | 158.6 (+13.4) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIS -13.1 (+6.9) | 160.7 (+11.3) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIS -13.6 (+6.4) | 151.5 (+20.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIS -14.6 (+5.4) | 154.2 (+17.8) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 7, 2024 | MARQ 88 – 74 WIS |
| Dec 2, 2023 | WIS 75 – 64 MARQ |
| Dec 3, 2022 | WIS 80 – 77 MARQ |
| Dec 4, 2021 | WIS 89 – 76 MARQ |
| Dec 5, 2020 | MARQ 67 – 65 WIS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIS | MARQ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 7-13 |
| Home | 15-2 | 10-7 |
| Away | 6-5 | 2-10 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.0 | 75.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.1 | 75.8 |
| Massey | 12.0 (#42) | 1.9 (#145) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.52 (#76) | -0.83 (#243) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.50 (#64) | -1.40 (#256) |
| RPI | 0.589 (#61) | 0.453 (#248) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIS | MARQ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 31.1% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 39.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.9 | 13.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.60 | 1.35 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.6% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 14.0% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 34.2% | 35.4% |
| FT Rate | 27.3% | 29.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 21.2% |
| DRB% | 74.9% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.8% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
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