With fingernails that shine like justice, and a voice that is dark like tinted glass. "Short Skirt Long Jacket" - Cake
Timmons Arena · December 3, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread FUR -25.5 Away covered
O/U 149.5 Over
Money FUR -4000 / SCST +2500
Model Predictions
Spread Total FUR win
Actual FUR +12 164 Won
Massey FUR -21.6 (-9.6)
Massey Totals 158.6 (+5.4)
Bradley-Terry 91%
Weighted B-T 93%
Baseline Plus ML FUR -17.4 (-5.4) 154.2 (+9.8) 89%
Baseline ML FUR -17.4 (-5.4) 155.5 (+8.5) 90%
Baseline Tuned ML FUR -16.4 (-4.4) 156.1 (+7.9) 89%
Efficiency Plus ML FUR -18.4 (-6.4) 154.6 (+9.4) 90%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 14, 2024 FUR 6864 SCST
Nov 29, 2023 FUR 8678 SCST
Dec 21, 2020 FUR 11852 SCST

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings FUR SCST
Overall 28-8 5-26
Conference 15-3 2-12
Home 14-2 4-6
Away 8-3 1-19
Neutral 6-3 0-1
Last 5 3-2 1-4
Streak L1 L6
Avg Pts For 79.2 72.1
Avg Pts Against 71.4 84.7
Massey 4.1 (#100) -11.3 (#339)
Bradley-Terry 0.68 (#129) -0.36 (#217)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.84 (#134) -0.34 (#208)
RPI 0.574 (#74) 0.462 (#229)
Shooting & Four Factors FUR SCST
FG% 46.9% 39.4%
3PT% 35.2% 28.5%
REB / G 35.0 36.2
OREB / G 9.6 13.5
AST / TO 1.48 0.91
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 55.1% 43.6%
TOV% 17.6% 15.4%
ORB% 28.2% 30.5%
FT Rate 13.8% 13.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 56.1% 57.3%
Opp TOV% 19.8% 16.3%
DRB% 81.4% 66.7%
Opp FT Rate 17.0% 29.6%

Game Analysis

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