They headed down to old El Paso; thats's where they ran into a great big hassle. "Take the Money and Run" - The Steve Miller Band
Bon Secours Wellness Arena · December 14, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread FUR -12.5 Away covered
O/U 142.5 Under
Money FUR -900 / SCST +600
Model Predictions
Spread Total FUR win
Actual FUR +4 132 Won
Massey FUR -12.9 (-8.9)
Massey Totals 130.9 (+1.1)
Bradley-Terry 99%
Weighted B-T 100%
Baseline Plus ML FUR -11.2 (-7.2) 133.9 (-1.9) 83%
Baseline ML FUR -11.5 (-7.5) 131.5 (+0.5) 85%
Baseline Tuned ML FUR -10.7 (-6.7) 132.7 (-0.7) 84%
Efficiency Plus ML FUR -11.4 (-7.4) 137.2 (-5.2) 84%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 29, 2023 FUR 8678 SCST
Dec 3, 2022 FUR 8876 SCST
Dec 21, 2020 FUR 11852 SCST

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings FUR SCST
Overall 25-10 20-13
Conference 11-7 11-3
Home 13-3 10-2
Away 9-6 7-10
Neutral 3-1 3-1
Last 5 4-1 2-3
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 74.2 76.0
Avg Pts Against 71.1 71.5
Massey 3.8 (#107) -4.8 (#252)
Bradley-Terry 2.87 (#23) -1.27 (#284)
W. Bradley-Terry 3.07 (#48) -1.81 (#283)
RPI 0.620 (#28) 0.420 (#302)
Shooting & Four Factors FUR SCST
FG% 43.4% 42.7%
3PT% 34.2% 29.8%
REB / G 33.2 33.8
OREB / G 8.6 11.7
AST / TO 1.33 1.06
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.6% 47.5%
TOV% 18.3% 18.6%
ORB% 25.9% 31.2%
FT Rate 18.6% 24.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.6% 52.0%
Opp TOV% 17.4% 21.4%
DRB% 69.9% 66.1%
Opp FT Rate 19.3% 31.2%

Game Analysis

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