We live on blood / We are Sparta F.C "Theme from Sparta FC" - The Fall
Timmons Arena · December 21, 2020
Betting Lines
Spread FUR -32.5 Home covered
O/U 151.5 Over
Model Predictions
Spread Total FUR win
Actual FUR +66 170 Won
Massey FUR -29.4 (+36.6)
Massey Totals 143.0 (+27.0)
Bradley-Terry 98%
Weighted B-T 99%
Baseline Plus ML FUR -28.5 (+37.5) 146.2 (+23.8) 91%
Baseline ML FUR -27.5 (+38.5) 145.4 (+24.6) 91%
Baseline Tuned ML FUR -23.6 (+42.4) 143.3 (+26.7) 91%
Efficiency Plus ML FUR -19.9 (+46.1) 150.9 (+19.1) 90%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 14, 2024 FUR 6864 SCST
Nov 29, 2023 FUR 8678 SCST
Dec 3, 2022 FUR 8876 SCST

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings FUR SCST
Neutral 0-1 0-0
Last 5 2-3 0-5
Massey 6.6 (#76) -18.3 (#326)
Bradley-Terry -0.60 (#206) -3.58 (#326)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.78 (#195) -5.15 (#325)
RPI 0.470 (#185) 0.319 (#317)
Shooting & Four Factors FUR SCST
FG% 46.1% 35.6%
3PT% 33.8% 29.9%
REB / G 31.6 30.2
OREB / G 6.8 8.9
AST / TO 1.14 0.60
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 55.0% 41.4%
TOV% 19.2% 23.1%
ORB% 21.0% 22.4%
FT Rate 30.5% 12.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.8% 53.9%
Opp TOV% 21.7% 22.3%
DRB% 66.3% 64.2%
Opp FT Rate 21.0% 26.7%

Game Analysis

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