Betting Lines
| Spread | WIN -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | WIN -120 CCU +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CCU +5 | 167 | Lost |
| Massey | WIN -11.3 (-16.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.0 (+21.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIN -5.6 (-10.6) | 143.4 (+23.6) | 73% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIN -4.8 (-9.8) | 146.6 (+20.4) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIN -6.5 (-11.5) | 145.6 (+21.4) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WIN -7.3 (-12.3) | 146.0 (+21.0) | 75% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 6, 2025 | CCU 88 – 84 WIN |
| Nov 12, 2025 | CCU 72 – 66 WIN |
| Dec 8, 2024 | WIN 96 – 89 CCU |
| Dec 2, 2023 | WIN 90 – 87 CCU |
| Dec 4, 2021 | CCU 74 – 64 WIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIN | CCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 11-20 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 5-13 |
| Home | 10-4 | 8-8 |
| Away | 4-11 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.8 | 70.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.8 | 77.3 |
| Massey | -4.1 (#248) | -9.2 (#323) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.15 (#169) | -0.71 (#243) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.39 (#161) | -0.02 (#185) |
| RPI | 0.534 (#128) | 0.415 (#296) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIN | CCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 38.0% |
| 3PT% | 42.0% | 25.4% |
| REB / G | 30.3 | 40.8 |
| OREB / G | 6.8 | 13.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.68 | 0.48 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.3% | 41.9% |
| TOV% | 22.5% | 24.0% |
| ORB% | 22.4% | 37.8% |
| FT Rate | 36.7% | 30.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.0% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 14.7% |
| DRB% | 61.8% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.6% | 7.9% |
Game Analysis
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