Betting Lines
| Spread | WIN -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | WIN -800 CCU +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIN +7 | 185 | Won |
| Massey | WIN -7.9 (-0.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.8 (+50.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIN -7.0 (-0.0) | 136.2 (+48.8) | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIN -7.9 (-0.9) | 138.6 (+46.4) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIN -6.5 (+0.5) | 135.6 (+49.4) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIN -6.3 (+0.7) | 134.9 (+50.1) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 6, 2025 | CCU 88 – 84 WIN |
| Nov 12, 2025 | CCU 72 – 66 WIN |
| Dec 2, 2023 | WIN 90 – 87 CCU |
| Dec 3, 2022 | CCU 86 – 81 WIN |
| Dec 4, 2021 | CCU 74 – 64 WIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIN | CCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 11-5 | 3-15 |
| Home | 16-2 | 6-8 |
| Away | 5-8 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 82.3 | 66.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.8 | 72.2 |
| Massey | -0.7 (#173) | -4.1 (#234) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.03 (#175) | -1.36 (#286) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.04 (#165) | -2.42 (#308) |
| RPI | 0.470 (#228) | 0.410 (#312) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIN | CCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 25.7% | 36.4% |
| REB / G | 40.1 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 13.8 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.67 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.2% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 35.3% | 26.8% |
| FT Rate | 33.7% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 42.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.4% | 10.7% |
| DRB% | 67.8% | 75.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.4% | 32.6% |
Game Analysis
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