But anyone who ever had heart, they wouldn't turn around and break it. "Sweet Jane" - Lou Reed
The HTC Center · November 12, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread WIN -2.5 Home covered
O/U 165.5 Under
Money CCU +130 / WIN -150
Model Predictions
Spread Total CCU win
Actual CCU +6 138 Won
Massey CCU -11.2 (-5.2)
Massey Totals 157.6 (-19.6)
Bradley-Terry 71%
Weighted B-T 72%
Baseline Tuned ML CCU -4.8 (+1.2) 148.2 (-10.2) 67%
Baseline ML CCU -4.5 (+1.5) 147.5 (-9.5) 71%
Baseline Plus ML CCU -2.6 (+3.4) 151.4 (-13.4) 70%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 6, 2025 CCU 8884 WIN
Dec 8, 2024 WIN 9689 CCU
Dec 2, 2023 WIN 9087 CCU
Dec 3, 2022 CCU 8681 WIN
Dec 4, 2021 CCU 7464 WIN

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings CCU WIN
Overall 19-13 23-11
Conference 11-7 13-3
Home 8-5 13-1
Away 10-7 7-9
Neutral 1-1 3-1
Last 5 0-1 1-1
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 71.8 81.5
Avg Pts Against 73.5 77.7
Massey 3.0 (#116) 4.4 (#97)
Bradley-Terry -0.70 (#266) 0.50 (#135)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.99 (#265) 0.74 (#127)
RPI 0.000 (#338) 0.531 (#128)
Shooting & Four Factors CCU WIN
FG% 41.0% 38.8%
3PT% 31.0% 32.8%
REB / G 35.0 35.0
OREB / G 9.0 13.5
AST / TO 0.77 1.50
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.4% 46.9%
TOV% 17.4% 10.9%
ORB% 22.0% 31.4%
FT Rate 19.7% 38.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.0% 51.2%
Opp TOV% 19.6% 20.5%
DRB% 83.9% 58.9%
Opp FT Rate 56.0% 36.9%

Game Analysis

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