Betting Lines
| Spread | WIN -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 165.5 Under |
| Money | CCU +130 WIN -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CCU +6 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | CCU -11.2 (-5.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.6 (-19.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CCU -4.5 (+1.5) | 147.5 (-9.5) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CCU -2.6 (+3.4) | 151.4 (-13.4) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CCU -4.8 (+1.2) | 148.2 (-10.2) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 6, 2025 | CCU 88 – 84 WIN |
| Dec 8, 2024 | WIN 96 – 89 CCU |
| Dec 2, 2023 | WIN 90 – 87 CCU |
| Dec 3, 2022 | CCU 86 – 81 WIN |
| Dec 4, 2021 | CCU 74 – 64 WIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CCU | WIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 13-3 |
| Home | 8-5 | 13-1 |
| Away | 10-7 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 81.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.5 | 77.7 |
| Massey | 3.0 (#116) | 4.4 (#97) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.70 (#266) | 0.50 (#135) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.99 (#265) | 0.74 (#127) |
| RPI | 0.000 (#338) | 0.531 (#128) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CCU | WIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 38.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.0% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 13.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 1.50 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 46.9% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 10.9% |
| ORB% | 22.0% | 31.4% |
| FT Rate | 19.7% | 38.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.0% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 20.5% |
| DRB% | 83.9% | 58.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 56.0% | 36.9% |
Game Analysis
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