Betting Lines
| Spread | WIN -2.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CCU +10 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | CCU -4.3 (+5.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.8 (-13.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 54% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CCU -2.6 (+7.4) | 146.2 (-8.2) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CCU -3.9 (+6.1) | 147.5 (-9.5) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CCU -3.7 (+6.3) | 148.7 (-10.7) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CCU -4.1 (+5.9) | 149.0 (-11.0) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 6, 2025 | CCU 88 – 84 WIN |
| Nov 12, 2025 | CCU 72 – 66 WIN |
| Dec 8, 2024 | WIN 96 – 89 CCU |
| Dec 2, 2023 | WIN 90 – 87 CCU |
| Dec 3, 2022 | CCU 86 – 81 WIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CCU | WIN |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-2 | 2-3 |
| Massey | 0.2 (#177) | 1.8 (#138) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.00 (#181) | 0.67 (#124) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.36 (#207) | 0.83 (#123) |
| RPI | 0.507 (#167) | 0.544 (#110) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CCU | WIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.8% | 47.6% |
| 3PT% | 25.0% | 40.9% |
| REB / G | 42.5 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.2 | 6.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.9% | 56.8% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 32.9% | 19.7% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 17.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.8% | 54.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 75.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.3% | 26.1% |
Game Analysis
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