Betting Lines
| Spread | WIN -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | CCU +210 WIN -200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIN +3 | 177 | Lost |
| Massey | WIN -5.7 (+2.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.3 (+27.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 34% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIN -5.4 (+2.4) | 145.4 (+31.6) | 32% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIN -6.3 (+3.3) | 148.3 (+28.7) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIN -4.9 (+1.9) | 146.4 (+30.6) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIN -4.8 (+1.8) | 148.6 (+28.4) | 35% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 6, 2025 | CCU 88 – 84 WIN |
| Nov 12, 2025 | CCU 72 – 66 WIN |
| Dec 8, 2024 | WIN 96 – 89 CCU |
| Dec 3, 2022 | CCU 86 – 81 WIN |
| Dec 4, 2021 | CCU 74 – 64 WIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CCU | WIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 8-8 |
| Home | 7-11 | 9-5 |
| Away | 1-9 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 75.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.4 | 73.5 |
| Massey | -11.2 (#336) | 0.7 (#155) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.19 (#324) | -0.27 (#209) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.47 (#329) | -0.13 (#197) |
| RPI | 0.370 (#336) | 0.509 (#163) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CCU | WIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 41.4 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 13.2 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 21.3% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 35.7% | 28.8% |
| FT Rate | 19.6% | 39.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 46.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.7% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 68.1% | 66.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.2% | 27.6% |
Game Analysis
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