Betting Lines
| Spread | LONG -15.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | DSU +900 LONG -1200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LONG +26 | 124 | Lost |
| Massey | LONG -4.9 (-21.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.3 (-13.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 37% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LONG -10.7 (-15.3) | 138.0 (-14.0) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LONG -5.1 (-20.9) | 139.4 (-15.4) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LONG -5.1 (-20.9) | 140.5 (-16.5) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LONG -6.3 (-19.7) | 140.2 (-16.2) | 28% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 13, 2025 | DSU 81 – 76 LONG |
| Dec 9, 2023 | LONG 62 – 61 DSU |
| Nov 24, 2023 | LONG 84 – 82 DSU |
| Dec 4, 2021 | LONG 78 – 58 DSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DSU | LONG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-24 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 4-10 | 12-6 |
| Home | 4-8 | 12-3 |
| Away | 2-14 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L4 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.1 | 71.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.8 | 66.4 |
| Massey | -11.5 (#340) | -0.4 (#192) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.89 (#344) | -1.59 (#306) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.25 (#343) | -2.29 (#301) |
| RPI | 0.344 (#355) | 0.394 (#322) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DSU | LONG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 29.9% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.65 | 1.28 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.7% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 23.1% | 15.3% |
| ORB% | 27.5% | 25.0% |
| FT Rate | 15.5% | 19.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.3% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 21.2% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.0% | 26.6% |
Game Analysis
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