Betting Lines
| Spread | LONG -19.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LONG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LONG +20 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | LONG -22.6 (-2.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.7 (+7.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LONG -18.6 (+1.4) | 133.0 (+3.0) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LONG -17.1 (+2.9) | 138.3 (-2.3) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LONG -16.6 (+3.4) | 134.2 (+1.8) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LONG -18.1 (+1.9) | 132.9 (+3.1) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 13, 2025 | DSU 81 – 76 LONG |
| Dec 9, 2023 | LONG 62 – 61 DSU |
| Nov 24, 2023 | LONG 84 – 82 DSU |
| Dec 3, 2022 | LONG 75 – 49 DSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LONG | DSU |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-4 |
| Massey | 1.1 (#157) | -15.6 (#351) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.28 (#273) | -3.54 (#350) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.40 (#259) | -4.94 (#349) |
| RPI | 0.422 (#284) | 0.246 (#359) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LONG | DSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 37.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 20.8% |
| REB / G | 37.8 | 37.8 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 0.44 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 40.6% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 24.3% |
| ORB% | 34.7% | 31.6% |
| FT Rate | 14.5% | 18.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 47.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 61.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.1% | 10.7% |
Game Analysis
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