Betting Lines
| Spread | LONG -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | LONG -1200 DSU +750 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LONG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DSU +5 | 157 | Lost |
| Massey | LONG -12.1 (-17.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.2 (+9.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LONG -9.8 (-14.8) | 138.1 (+18.9) | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LONG -9.5 (-14.5) | 139.0 (+18.0) | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LONG -10.1 (-15.1) | 138.4 (+18.6) | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LONG -9.3 (-14.3) | 139.2 (+17.8) | 86% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 9, 2023 | LONG 62 – 61 DSU |
| Nov 24, 2023 | LONG 84 – 82 DSU |
| Dec 3, 2022 | LONG 75 – 49 DSU |
| Dec 4, 2021 | LONG 78 – 58 DSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LONG | DSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 8-23 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 2-12 |
| Home | 11-4 | 5-7 |
| Away | 4-10 | 2-14 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.9 | 59.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.2 | 71.4 |
| Massey | -9.9 (#310) | -17.2 (#358) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.22 (#276) | -2.44 (#331) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.98 (#237) | -3.56 (#330) |
| RPI | 0.424 (#296) | 0.355 (#352) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LONG | DSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.5% | 35.3% |
| 3PT% | 28.0% | 27.8% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 31.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 0.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.2% | 39.2% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 32.3% | 24.3% |
| FT Rate | 39.7% | 17.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.2% | 58.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.1% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 73.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.3% | 23.3% |
Game Analysis
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