Betting Lines
| Spread | LONG -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | LONG -1200 DSU +850 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LONG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LONG +2 | 166 | Won |
| Massey | LONG -21.1 (-19.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.0 (+26.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LONG -15.7 (-13.7) | 140.7 (+25.3) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LONG -15.2 (-13.2) | 141.7 (+24.3) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LONG -15.3 (-13.3) | 141.2 (+24.8) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LONG -15.0 (-13.0) | 139.8 (+26.2) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 13, 2025 | DSU 81 – 76 LONG |
| Dec 9, 2023 | LONG 62 – 61 DSU |
| Dec 3, 2022 | LONG 75 – 49 DSU |
| Dec 4, 2021 | LONG 78 – 58 DSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LONG | DSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-14 | 15-19 |
| Conference | 6-10 | 6-8 |
| Home | 13-3 | 7-5 |
| Away | 5-10 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.9 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.2 | 71.4 |
| Massey | 2.1 (#131) | -11.9 (#339) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.64 (#129) | -1.65 (#307) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.93 (#126) | -2.90 (#309) |
| RPI | 0.496 (#181) | 0.422 (#274) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LONG | DSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.4% | 37.3% |
| 3PT% | 18.2% | 23.5% |
| REB / G | 41.7 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 17.0 | 13.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 0.66 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.1% | 39.9% |
| TOV% | 14.7% | 21.8% |
| ORB% | 45.5% | 35.2% |
| FT Rate | 31.9% | 23.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.0% | 56.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.6% | 23.6% |
| DRB% | 74.0% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.3% | 32.0% |
Game Analysis
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