Betting Lines
| Spread | LONG -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | DSU +300 LONG -300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LONG +1 | 123 | Lost |
| Massey | LONG -5.2 (+4.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.8 (-20.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 33% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 20% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LONG -6.2 (+5.2) | 143.4 (-20.4) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LONG -3.0 (+2.0) | 141.6 (-18.6) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LONG -3.0 (+2.0) | 143.4 (-20.4) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LONG -4.6 (+3.6) | 145.9 (-22.9) | 33% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 13, 2025 | DSU 81 – 76 LONG |
| Nov 24, 2023 | LONG 84 – 82 DSU |
| Dec 3, 2022 | LONG 75 – 49 DSU |
| Dec 4, 2021 | LONG 78 – 58 DSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DSU | LONG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-19 | 21-14 |
| Conference | 6-8 | 6-10 |
| Home | 7-5 | 13-3 |
| Away | 4-11 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.4 | 72.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.4 | 70.2 |
| Massey | -5.9 (#280) | 4.8 (#96) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.96 (#260) | 0.99 (#99) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.55 (#272) | 1.33 (#99) |
| RPI | 0.429 (#283) | 0.532 (#127) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DSU | LONG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 30.7% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 39.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 13.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.70 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.6% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 21.8% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 34.1% | 39.0% |
| FT Rate | 26.4% | 34.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.9% | 46.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.6% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 73.3% | 74.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.1% | 20.8% |
Game Analysis
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