Betting Lines
| Spread | HPU -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Over |
| Money | HPU -200 UNF +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HPU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HPU +5 | 181 | Won |
| Massey | HPU -15.6 (-10.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.0 (+28.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HPU -10.1 (-5.1) | 155.9 (+25.1) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HPU -12.1 (-7.1) | 150.9 (+30.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HPU -12.1 (-7.1) | 151.8 (+29.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HPU -12.0 (-7.0) | 152.9 (+28.1) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 2, 2023 | HPU 86 – 79 UNF |
| Dec 5, 2020 | HPU 85 – 74 UNF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HPU | UNF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-17 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 9-9 |
| Home | 10-5 | 11-2 |
| Away | 2-11 | 3-14 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 74.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.2 | 79.0 |
| Massey | 1.4 (#157) | -8.0 (#314) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.86 (#50) | -0.29 (#209) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.49 (#59) | -0.10 (#192) |
| RPI | 0.594 (#58) | 0.481 (#206) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HPU | UNF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 39.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 30.0% |
| REB / G | 41.0 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.6 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 0.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 46.2% |
| TOV% | 20.9% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 35.6% | 25.3% |
| FT Rate | 24.2% | 25.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.7% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 13.2% |
| DRB% | 65.9% | 59.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 17.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.