Betting Lines
| Spread | HPU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Over |
| Money | UNF +180 HPU -163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HPU +7 | 165 | Lost |
| Massey | HPU -2.2 (-4.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.8 (+6.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 50% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 26% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HPU -3.1 (-3.9) | 151.6 (+13.4) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HPU -1.0 (-6.0) | 151.3 (+13.7) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HPU -2.0 (-5.0) | 151.6 (+13.4) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HPU -2.7 (-4.3) | 153.4 (+11.6) | 38% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 3, 2022 | HPU 93 – 88 UNF |
| Dec 5, 2020 | HPU 85 – 74 UNF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNF | HPU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 27-9 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 13-3 |
| Home | 11-5 | 16-1 |
| Away | 5-11 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.6 | 82.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.7 | 75.2 |
| Massey | -6.3 (#289) | 2.1 (#136) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.41 (#282) | -0.17 (#203) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.29 (#292) | 0.24 (#178) |
| RPI | 0.390 (#318) | 0.415 (#288) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNF | HPU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.1% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 42.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 25.6% | 36.2% |
| FT Rate | 21.1% | 37.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.8% | 11.4% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 76.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 34.6% | 27.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.