Betting Lines
| Spread | INST -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | M-OH +275 INST -275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | M-OH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | INST +27 | 149 | Lost |
| Massey | INST -3.7 (-23.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 164.3 (-15.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 7% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | INST -4.6 (-22.4) | 157.2 (-8.2) | 32% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | INST -4.0 (-23.0) | 157.6 (-8.6) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | INST -3.6 (-23.4) | 157.2 (-8.2) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | INST -4.2 (-22.8) | 156.6 (-7.6) | 33% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 4, 2021 | INST 69 – 68 M-OH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | M-OH | INST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 23-13 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 13-7 |
| Home | 9-9 | 11-4 |
| Away | 3-9 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.2 | 78.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.3 | 69.7 |
| Massey | -7.2 (#305) | 2.7 (#132) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.74 (#339) | 1.01 (#102) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.21 (#341) | 1.58 (#96) |
| RPI | 0.395 (#320) | 0.543 (#115) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | M-OH | INST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 47.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 30.2 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 7.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 56.3% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 26.3% | 22.7% |
| FT Rate | 24.4% | 24.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.7% | 48.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 62.3% | 73.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.5% | 26.6% |
Game Analysis
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