Betting Lines
| Spread | M-OH -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | INST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | INST +1 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | INST -1.8 (-0.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.7 (-18.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | INST -0.9 (+0.1) | 149.8 (-12.8) | 54% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | INST -2.3 (-1.3) | 147.5 (-10.5) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | INST -2.9 (-1.9) | 151.4 (-14.4) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | INST -1.9 (-0.9) | 150.4 (-13.4) | 61% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 3, 2022 | INST 88 – 61 M-OH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | INST | M-OH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-20 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 8-12 |
| Home | 8-6 | 9-8 |
| Away | 2-11 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.2 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.6 | 76.0 |
| Massey | 0.6 (#167) | 4.7 (#92) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.11 (#192) | 0.66 (#130) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.03 (#188) | 1.63 (#90) |
| RPI | 0.519 (#144) | 0.507 (#166) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | INST | M-OH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 31.4 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 7.3 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 1.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 11.5% |
| ORB% | 21.7% | 26.8% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.5% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 74.1% | 67.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.9% | 17.6% |
Game Analysis
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