Betting Lines
| Spread | SLU -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | SLU -350 SIU +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SLU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SLU +13 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | SLU -3.8 (+9.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.8 (+18.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SLU -6.3 (+6.7) | 139.3 (+17.7) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SLU -4.3 (+8.7) | 138.6 (+18.4) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SLU -3.8 (+9.2) | 139.1 (+17.9) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SLU -4.4 (+8.6) | 140.7 (+16.3) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 2, 2023 | SIU 101 – 62 SLU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SLU | SIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 23-10 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 14-6 |
| Home | 15-3 | 13-2 |
| Away | 4-7 | 8-6 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.9 | 65.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.7 | 61.7 |
| Massey | 4.7 (#88) | 7.1 (#61) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.85 (#51) | 1.61 (#63) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.13 (#41) | 1.37 (#109) |
| RPI | 0.646 (#21) | 0.575 (#73) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SLU | SIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 41.3 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 6.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.56 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 53.0% |
| TOV% | 15.0% | 21.8% |
| ORB% | 32.4% | 19.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 18.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.0% | 44.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.9% | 21.1% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 74.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.7% | 15.2% |
Game Analysis
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