Betting Lines
| Spread | SIU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | SIU -250 SLU +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIU +39 | 163 | Won |
| Massey | SIU -12.3 (+26.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.8 (+19.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIU -8.2 (+30.8) | 141.9 (+21.1) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIU -9.8 (+29.2) | 142.7 (+20.3) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SIU -10.2 (+28.8) | 143.8 (+19.2) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIU -9.3 (+29.7) | 144.6 (+18.4) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 3, 2022 | SLU 85 – 72 SIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIU | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 5-13 |
| Home | 13-5 | 8-8 |
| Away | 5-6 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.2 | 74.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.6 | 79.8 |
| Massey | 2.8 (#126) | -3.3 (#234) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.47 (#143) | 0.62 (#133) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.51 (#161) | 1.25 (#108) |
| RPI | 0.530 (#133) | 0.503 (#169) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIU | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 41.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 37.2% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 7.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 1.29 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 47.7% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 13.2% |
| ORB% | 28.2% | 19.9% |
| FT Rate | 33.0% | 29.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 75.3% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.6% | 17.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.