Betting Lines
| Spread | BGSU -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | BGSU -175 MORG +175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BGSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BGSU +10 | 162 | Won |
| Massey | BGSU -1.6 (+8.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.9 (+21.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BGSU -2.8 (+7.2) | 143.6 (+18.4) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BGSU -2.1 (+7.9) | 140.9 (+21.1) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BGSU -1.6 (+8.4) | 142.4 (+19.6) | 55% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BGSU -1.8 (+8.2) | 142.8 (+19.2) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 7, 2024 | BGSU 102 – 81 MORG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BGSU | MORG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-20 | 15-16 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 7-7 |
| Home | 7-9 | 10-2 |
| Away | 4-11 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.5 | 69.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.1 | 75.3 |
| Massey | -6.2 (#283) | -1.6 (#208) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.47 (#297) | -0.82 (#252) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.35 (#302) | -1.90 (#289) |
| RPI | 0.446 (#259) | 0.454 (#244) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BGSU | MORG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.9% | 40.7% |
| 3PT% | 27.9% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 37.1 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.6 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.7% | 45.3% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 22.4% |
| ORB% | 31.5% | 33.1% |
| FT Rate | 16.4% | 16.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.9% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 25.6% |
| DRB% | 75.8% | 56.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.2% | 35.2% |
Game Analysis
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