Betting Lines
| Spread | BGSU -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | BGSU -600 MORG +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BGSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BGSU +21 | 183 | Won |
| Massey | BGSU -11.1 (+9.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.3 (+31.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BGSU -9.6 (+11.4) | 147.0 (+36.0) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BGSU -8.9 (+12.1) | 146.0 (+37.0) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BGSU -8.7 (+12.3) | 146.0 (+37.0) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BGSU -10.0 (+11.0) | 146.7 (+36.3) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 3, 2022 | BGSU 86 – 76 MORG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BGSU | MORG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 7-7 |
| Home | 8-8 | 11-4 |
| Away | 5-8 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.9 | 76.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.4 | 82.8 |
| Massey | -5.9 (#272) | -12.3 (#346) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.78 (#307) | -3.11 (#355) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.93 (#323) | -4.10 (#350) |
| RPI | 0.371 (#342) | 0.289 (#364) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BGSU | MORG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 26.4% |
| REB / G | 30.5 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 7.8 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 0.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 48.5% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 23.0% | 33.2% |
| FT Rate | 28.5% | 20.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 67.0% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.7% | 33.1% |
Game Analysis
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