Betting Lines
| Spread | BYU -12.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.0 Under |
| Money | BYU -650 SDAK +475 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BYU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SDAK +1 | 137 | Lost |
| Massey | BYU -10.2 (-11.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.7 (-11.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 50% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BYU -5.3 (-6.3) | 143.7 (-6.7) | 73% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BYU -8.2 (-9.2) | 141.1 (-4.1) | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BYU -6.0 (-7.0) | 144.6 (-7.6) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BYU -5.8 (-6.8) | 143.9 (-6.9) | 73% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BYU | SDAK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 12-19 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 7-11 |
| Home | 12-4 | 8-6 |
| Away | 2-7 | 2-11 |
| Neutral | 4-4 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 67.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.1 | 74.5 |
| Massey | 1.8 (#148) | -8.4 (#315) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.13 (#171) | 0.13 (#172) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.32 (#164) | 0.59 (#148) |
| RPI | 0.507 (#164) | 0.497 (#182) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BYU | SDAK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 38.3% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 30.5% |
| REB / G | 41.1 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.6 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 44.2% |
| TOV% | 23.0% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 36.1% | 30.0% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 19.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 53.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 14.5% |
| DRB% | 73.7% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.8% | 16.3% |
Game Analysis
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