Betting Lines
| Spread | ECU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | ECU -163 CAM +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ECU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ECU +10 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | ECU -0.8 (+9.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.3 (+9.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ECU -2.2 (+7.8) | 136.6 (+11.4) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ECU -1.7 (+8.3) | 139.7 (+8.3) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ECU -1.0 (+9.0) | 140.5 (+7.5) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ECU -1.5 (+8.5) | 138.1 (+9.9) | 57% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 11, 2023 | ECU 77 – 63 CAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ECU | CAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 16-18 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 8-10 |
| Home | 10-6 | 8-6 |
| Away | 2-9 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.8 | 68.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.5 | 69.0 |
| Massey | -3.0 (#233) | 2.4 (#135) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.36 (#216) | 0.30 (#154) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.35 (#209) | 0.55 (#151) |
| RPI | 0.448 (#255) | 0.492 (#188) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ECU | CAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 47.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 38.5% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 30.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 6.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 54.9% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 33.3% | 21.5% |
| FT Rate | 29.0% | 25.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 20.5% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 73.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.0% | 25.6% |
Game Analysis
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