Betting Lines
| Spread | MORE -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | MORE -300 UNA +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNA +6 | 156 | Lost |
| Massey | MORE -6.7 (-12.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.5 (+12.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MORE -6.3 (-12.3) | 141.6 (+14.4) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MORE -4.1 (-10.1) | 142.0 (+14.0) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MORE -4.8 (-10.8) | 141.8 (+14.2) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MORE -4.5 (-10.5) | 141.0 (+15.0) | 55% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 10, 2023 | MORE 86 – 77 UNA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MORE | UNA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 10-8 |
| Home | 14-2 | 9-4 |
| Away | 8-9 | 8-10 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.2 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.2 | 76.5 |
| Massey | -6.7 (#292) | -7.2 (#304) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.66 (#239) | -1.57 (#301) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.03 (#245) | -3.72 (#330) |
| RPI | 0.486 (#199) | 0.378 (#336) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MORE | UNA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 33.1% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 24.6% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.52 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 38.7% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 23.0% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 26.2% | 26.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 19.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.3% | 56.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.0% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 73.7% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.8% | 26.1% |
Game Analysis
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