Betting Lines
| Spread | CCSU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | HC +110 CCSU -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HC +6 | 120 | Won |
| Massey | HC -0.1 (+5.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.7 (-17.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HC -0.4 (+5.6) | 133.0 (-13.0) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HC -0.9 (+5.1) | 135.3 (-15.3) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | HC -1.2 (+4.8) | 135.2 (-15.2) | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HC -0.7 (+5.3) | 134.1 (-14.1) | 45% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 7, 2024 | CCSU 69 – 56 HC |
| Dec 2, 2023 | CCSU 78 – 67 HC |
| Dec 2, 2021 | CCSU 73 – 67 HC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HC | CCSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 7-9 |
| Home | 6-9 | 6-7 |
| Away | 4-11 | 4-14 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L4 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.2 | 66.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.1 | 70.2 |
| Massey | -15.2 (#356) | -9.0 (#322) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.62 (#353) | -3.84 (#357) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.95 (#352) | -5.13 (#354) |
| RPI | 0.400 (#312) | 0.383 (#329) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HC | CCSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.6% | 40.7% |
| 3PT% | 30.9% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 32.3 | 30.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.73 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.4% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 22.5% | 23.7% |
| FT Rate | 16.2% | 13.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.3% | 56.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.1% | 20.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.