Betting Lines
| Spread | CCSU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | HC +165 CCSU -200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CCSU +13 | 125 | Lost |
| Massey | HC -0.6 (-13.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.8 (-6.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HC -3.1 (-16.1) | 132.9 (-7.9) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | HC -3.3 (-16.3) | 131.6 (-6.6) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HC -2.6 (-15.6) | 132.0 (-7.0) | 60% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HC -0.7 (-13.7) | 131.3 (-6.3) | 51% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 2, 2023 | CCSU 78 – 67 HC |
| Dec 3, 2022 | HC 63 – 57 CCSU |
| Dec 2, 2021 | CCSU 73 – 67 HC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HC | CCSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 25-7 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 14-2 |
| Home | 7-6 | 13-3 |
| Away | 4-13 | 12-3 |
| Neutral | 2-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.7 | 63.1 |
| Massey | -6.4 (#283) | -2.2 (#204) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.69 (#115) | 0.33 (#141) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.52 (#139) | -0.12 (#174) |
| RPI | 0.547 (#98) | 0.528 (#129) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HC | CCSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 27.9% |
| REB / G | 31.0 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 47.6% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 25.0% | 25.6% |
| FT Rate | 19.2% | 18.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.5% | 50.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 72.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.9% | 15.7% |
Game Analysis
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