Betting Lines
| Spread | CCSU -1.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.0 Over |
| Money | CCSU -110 HC -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CCSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CCSU +6 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | CCSU -7.4 (-1.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.9 (+1.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CCSU -3.6 (+2.4) | 136.6 (+3.4) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CCSU -5.8 (+0.2) | 138.8 (+1.2) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CCSU -5.7 (+0.3) | 139.5 (+0.5) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CCSU -5.7 (+0.3) | 138.4 (+1.6) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 7, 2024 | CCSU 69 – 56 HC |
| Dec 2, 2023 | CCSU 78 – 67 HC |
| Dec 3, 2022 | HC 63 – 57 CCSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CCSU | HC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-24 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 7-11 |
| Home | 5-7 | 5-9 |
| Away | 4-15 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.8 | 63.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 72.0 |
| Massey | -13.8 (#347) | -15.2 (#350) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.55 (#330) | -3.29 (#349) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.38 (#334) | -5.21 (#350) |
| RPI | 0.392 (#310) | 0.318 (#348) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CCSU | HC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.8% | 39.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 30.3 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.64 | 0.39 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.9% | 44.4% |
| TOV% | 22.2% | 24.5% |
| ORB% | 25.3% | 29.9% |
| FT Rate | 18.5% | 16.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.8% | 54.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 66.8% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.0% | 19.7% |
Game Analysis
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