Betting Lines
| Spread | CCSU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | CCSU -250 HC +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CCSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CCSU +11 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | CCSU -18.1 (-7.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.7 (+7.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CCSU -10.9 (+0.1) | 139.2 (+5.8) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CCSU -11.5 (-0.5) | 138.9 (+6.1) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CCSU -11.9 (-0.9) | 138.2 (+6.8) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CCSU -12.5 (-1.5) | 137.5 (+7.5) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 7, 2024 | CCSU 69 – 56 HC |
| Dec 3, 2022 | HC 63 – 57 CCSU |
| Dec 2, 2021 | CCSU 73 – 67 HC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CCSU | HC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-11 | 10-23 |
| Conference | 13-3 | 6-12 |
| Home | 11-4 | 5-8 |
| Away | 9-7 | 4-14 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.3 | 65.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 75.1 |
| Massey | -2.6 (#225) | -14.5 (#351) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.22 (#271) | -1.80 (#310) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.02 (#285) | -2.92 (#314) |
| RPI | 0.426 (#276) | 0.387 (#323) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CCSU | HC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 30.0 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.32 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 26.6% | 27.6% |
| FT Rate | 17.3% | 13.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.1% | 54.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.5% | 13.5% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.5% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
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