Betting Lines
| Spread | DART -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 124.5 Over |
| Money | DART -110 CSUB +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DART win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DART +25 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | CSUB -5.6 (+30.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.5 (+2.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 28% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 3% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSUB -4.0 (+29.0) | 131.3 (+1.7) | 42% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSUB -3.8 (+28.8) | 134.0 (-1.0) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSUB -2.9 (+27.9) | 133.5 (-0.5) | 34% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CSUB -3.2 (+28.2) | 134.8 (-1.8) | 42% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 21, 2021 | CSUB 61 – 57 DART |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DART | CSUB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-18 | 11-22 |
| Conference | 6-8 | 6-14 |
| Home | 7-5 | 6-8 |
| Away | 3-11 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | W1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.9 | 59.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 66.1 |
| Massey | -9.5 (#328) | 2.4 (#137) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.14 (#278) | 1.03 (#101) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.98 (#314) | 2.05 (#78) |
| RPI | 0.460 (#233) | 0.497 (#180) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DART | CSUB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.6% | 39.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 0.67 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 43.9% |
| TOV% | 23.2% | 22.3% |
| ORB% | 23.7% | 32.2% |
| FT Rate | 19.8% | 17.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 46.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.4% | 24.2% |
Game Analysis
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