Betting Lines
| Spread | CSUB -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 122.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUB +4 | 118 | Won |
| Massey | CSUB -2.9 (+1.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 118.3 (-0.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSUB -3.0 (+1.0) | 128.9 (-10.9) | 56% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSUB -2.9 (+1.1) | 128.1 (-10.1) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSUB -2.7 (+1.3) | 130.0 (-12.0) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CSUB -2.9 (+1.1) | 128.5 (-10.5) | 56% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 3, 2022 | DART 79 – 54 CSUB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUB | DART |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-19 | 9-16 |
| Conference | 2-12 | 6-8 |
| Home | 5-7 | 5-5 |
| Away | 2-11 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | W2 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.8 | 66.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.4 | 68.0 |
| Massey | -4.6 (#254) | -3.0 (#232) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.02 (#185) | -1.02 (#255) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.07 (#187) | -0.98 (#242) |
| RPI | 0.506 (#166) | 0.469 (#230) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUB | DART |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.8% | 39.7% |
| 3PT% | 30.0% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.47 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 40.8% | 47.6% |
| TOV% | 20.9% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 27.1% | 21.0% |
| FT Rate | 14.8% | 12.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.1% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.2% | 18.9% |
Game Analysis
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