Betting Lines
| Spread | DAV -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | DEL +160 DAV -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DEL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DEL +2 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | DEL -4.9 (-2.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.2 (-17.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 30% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 24% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DEL -1.9 (+0.1) | 149.1 (-13.1) | 64% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DEL -1.4 (+0.6) | 150.4 (-14.4) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DEL -3.1 (-1.1) | 148.9 (-12.9) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DEL -2.5 (-0.5) | 149.5 (-13.5) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 10, 2021 | DAV 93 – 71 DEL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DEL | DAV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 8-10 |
| Home | 10-5 | 7-8 |
| Away | 4-10 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.4 | 69.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 68.8 |
| Massey | -2.9 (#229) | -1.5 (#207) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.70 (#242) | 1.36 (#74) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.76 (#228) | 1.82 (#83) |
| RPI | 0.464 (#226) | 0.597 (#53) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DEL | DAV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 48.2% |
| 3PT% | 30.8% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 6.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 1.24 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 54.5% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 28.5% | 21.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.7% | 31.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.3% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 65.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.3% | 14.7% |
Game Analysis
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