Betting Lines
| Spread | PRST -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | PRST -175 AF +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRST +4 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | PRST -10.8 (-6.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.3 (-18.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRST -5.9 (-1.9) | 142.6 (-10.6) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRST -6.4 (-2.4) | 146.2 (-14.2) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PRST -7.5 (-3.5) | 145.8 (-13.8) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRST -6.2 (-2.2) | 144.5 (-12.5) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 7, 2023 | PRST 62 – 55 AF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRST | AF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-19 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 6-11 | 5-13 |
| Home | 6-7 | 10-9 |
| Away | 5-9 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L4 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.7 | 66.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.2 | 67.1 |
| Massey | 2.0 (#141) | -2.6 (#225) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.67 (#130) | -1.14 (#277) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.06 (#125) | -1.59 (#276) |
| RPI | 0.573 (#77) | 0.385 (#326) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRST | AF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 46.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 35.9% |
| REB / G | 31.7 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 55.4% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 30.3% | 23.2% |
| FT Rate | 29.0% | 25.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.4% | 43.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.7% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 68.0% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 45.3% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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