Betting Lines
| Spread | LUC -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | LUC -130 DEP +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LUC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DEP +6 | 150 | Lost |
| Massey | LUC -1.2 (-7.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.4 (+5.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LUC -0.2 (-6.2) | 143.4 (+6.6) | 51% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DEP -0.2 (-5.8) | 141.9 (+8.1) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LUC -1.6 (-7.6) | 143.5 (+6.5) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LUC -1.7 (-7.7) | 143.5 (+6.5) | 55% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 4, 2021 | LUC 68 – 64 DEP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LUC | DEP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-21 | 10-23 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 3-17 |
| Home | 6-8 | 7-8 |
| Away | 3-8 | 2-12 |
| Neutral | 1-5 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.4 | 71.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.5 | 77.3 |
| Massey | -5.7 (#278) | -0.7 (#196) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.73 (#244) | -0.06 (#193) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.02 (#243) | -0.28 (#205) |
| RPI | 0.462 (#230) | 0.541 (#119) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LUC | DEP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 29.7% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.69 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 27.3% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 32.4% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 27.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 47.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 65.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.8% | 28.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.