Betting Lines
| Spread | UML -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | SHU +275 UML -275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SHU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UML +11 | 129 | Lost |
| Massey | UML -7.5 (-3.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.4 (-25.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 43% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UML -4.4 (-6.6) | 152.2 (-23.2) | 33% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UML -6.0 (-5.0) | 149.7 (-20.7) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UML -4.6 (-6.4) | 149.9 (-20.9) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UML -4.8 (-6.2) | 150.8 (-21.8) | 28% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 16, 2025 | UML 87 – 82 SHU |
| Nov 16, 2022 | UML 90 – 81 SHU |
| Dec 19, 2021 | UML 70 – 62 SHU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SHU | UML |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 26-8 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 11-5 |
| Home | 9-6 | 17-0 |
| Away | 7-11 | 9-8 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 76.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.6 | 67.1 |
| Massey | -6.2 (#284) | 7.4 (#58) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.41 (#221) | 1.12 (#94) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.32 (#264) | 1.27 (#114) |
| RPI | 0.447 (#257) | 0.533 (#131) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SHU | UML |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.0% | 49.6% |
| 3PT% | 29.0% | 38.4% |
| REB / G | 37.4 | 42.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 13.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.3% | 55.5% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 24.7% |
| ORB% | 28.8% | 40.2% |
| FT Rate | 21.0% | 17.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.2% | 43.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 22.0% |
| DRB% | 74.2% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.8% | 23.2% |
Game Analysis
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