Betting Lines
| Spread | UML -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | UML -1200 SHU +650 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UML win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UML +9 | 171 | Won |
| Massey | UML -31.2 (-22.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.2 (+9.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UML -18.0 (-9.0) | 154.2 (+16.8) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UML -21.2 (-12.2) | 156.5 (+14.5) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UML -23.4 (-14.4) | 154.1 (+16.9) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UML -21.6 (-12.6) | 156.0 (+15.0) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 16, 2025 | UML 87 – 82 SHU |
| Dec 3, 2022 | UML 70 – 59 SHU |
| Dec 19, 2021 | UML 70 – 62 SHU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UML | SHU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-8 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 11-5 | 8-8 |
| Home | 17-0 | 9-6 |
| Away | 9-8 | 7-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 2-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.1 | 71.6 |
| Massey | 14.1 (#5) | -7.1 (#307) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.25 (#60) | 1.05 (#71) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.92 (#55) | 1.26 (#79) |
| RPI | 0.571 (#110) | 0.477 (#203) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UML | SHU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.6% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 29.3% |
| REB / G | 40.0 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 14.0 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.8% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 25.2% | 21.5% |
| ORB% | 41.8% | 26.8% |
| FT Rate | 13.6% | 14.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 37.7% | 53.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.5% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 63.4% | 75.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 39.0% | 21.6% |
Game Analysis
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