Betting Lines
| Spread | SHU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | UML +124 SHU -148 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UML win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UML +5 | 169 | Won |
| Massey | UML -1.7 (+3.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.3 (+11.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 24% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 15% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UML -0.6 (+4.4) | 147.4 (+21.6) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UML -1.4 (+3.6) | 146.6 (+22.4) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UML -1.9 (+3.1) | 148.0 (+21.0) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UML -1.5 (+3.5) | 146.1 (+22.9) | 59% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 3, 2022 | UML 70 – 59 SHU |
| Nov 16, 2022 | UML 90 – 81 SHU |
| Dec 19, 2021 | UML 70 – 62 SHU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UML | SHU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 9-11 |
| Home | 10-4 | 8-5 |
| Away | 5-14 | 5-13 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.7 | 74.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.4 | 77.6 |
| Massey | -9.8 (#311) | -7.1 (#282) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.62 (#337) | -0.65 (#233) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.75 (#337) | -1.07 (#240) |
| RPI | 0.442 (#272) | 0.472 (#224) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UML | SHU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 41.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 36.3% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.1% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 22.4% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 27.6% | 24.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.4% | 56.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 62.6% | 67.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.5% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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