Betting Lines
| Spread | SCU -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | SCU -800 SAC +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCU +7 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | SCU -8.8 (-1.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.8 (-8.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SCU -6.5 (+0.5) | 146.0 (-9.0) | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SCU -12.2 (-5.2) | 144.5 (-7.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SCU -8.0 (-1.0) | 144.8 (-7.8) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SCU -7.2 (-0.2) | 147.5 (-10.5) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SCU | SAC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-10 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 11-5 | 7-11 |
| Home | 14-4 | 9-4 |
| Away | 6-3 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.3 | 66.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.8 | 69.2 |
| Massey | 1.8 (#143) | -0.7 (#197) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.03 (#100) | -0.24 (#205) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.43 (#108) | -0.19 (#196) |
| RPI | 0.603 (#48) | 0.503 (#171) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SCU | SAC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 38.6% |
| REB / G | 41.6 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 22.6% |
| ORB% | 31.6% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 25.3% | 24.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 53.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 14.9% |
| DRB% | 82.5% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.5% | 18.0% |
Game Analysis
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